What next for Asian currencies

Note that I will be speaking on the currency panel at the 5th Global Independent Research Conference on 3rd February in London (1 Wimpole Street). We will be discussing the outlook for i) Asian and EM currencies, including the Renminbi, ii) developed market currencies, including the Euro and Sterling, iii) depressed global FX volatility, iv) central bank monetary policy and

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Asian currencies showing some viral resistance

Note that I will be speaking on the currency panel at the 5th Global Independent Research Conference on 3rd February in London (1 Wimpole Street). Independent research providers will be debating their views on a range of investment topics through panel discussions. This conference is for the buy-side community including Portfolio Managers, Chief Investment Officers, Fund Managers, Strategists, Analysts and

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Lack of US market & macro volatility both reassuring and troubling

Note that I will be speaking on the currency panel at the 5th Global Independent Research Conference on 3rd February in London (1 Wimpole Street). Independent research providers will be debating their views on a range of investment topics through panel discussions. This conference is for the buy-side community including Portfolio Managers, Chief Investment Officers, Fund Managers, Strategists, Analysts and

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Bank of England’s dovish warning bells ring true

    Read the full research piece here     Olivier DesbarresOlivier Desbarres is an economist, strategist and entrepreneur. He is Director and Founder of 4X Global Research. 4X Global Research was founded by OIivier Desbarres in 2017, and the firm provides both institutional and corporate clients with substantive research, high-quality analysis and insight on emerging and G20 economies and

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Sterling’s made its mind up, UK voters not quite

Sterling has appreciated 1.5% in Nominal Effective Exchange Rate terms since 26th November to a 7-month high, a notable move in a world of depressed currency volatility. Markets have seemingly taken comfort from the (modest) widening of the gap between the ruling Conservative Party and opposition Labour party in opinion polls to about 10pp and YouGov predicting that Prime Minister

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Nominal Effective Exchange Rate seasonality November & December update

This report updates the monthly seasonal patterns of 32 major Nominal Effective Exchange Rates (NEERs) going back to May 2010, using over 90,000 daily data points with trade-weights derived from the BIS (April 2019) and national central banks (see Nominal Effective Exchange Rates: Monthly seasonal patterns, 10 January 2019). A number of factors can drive currency seasonality, including underlying seasonal

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